[CT Birds] Earl/Stratford Point

Mardi Dickinson mardi1 at optonline.net
Wed Sep 1 20:27:51 EDT 2010


I will be out and about this week & weekend very early. So it would be  
great
as Nick said, to have good communication by mobil phone, txt, mobil  
email & twitter.
I am game for sure and will be happy to do all the above.

Cheers,
Mardi

On Sep 1, 2010, at 7:56 PM, Nick Bonomo wrote:

> What an impressive storm. It will be fascinating to see how this  
> plays out.
>
> As of right now, it seems we're due to get the brunt of this storm
> sometime during Friday midday through the evening. As the cyclone
> pulls away Friday night, the winds will shift from an easterly
> direction (most likely to push birds into Long Island Sound) to a
> westerly one. It is likely that THE most crucial time to be out
> birding in CT will be at DAWN on Saturday. Anything blown into the
> sound, or upriver, will likely be reorienting at first light and
> riding the west winds back toward the open ocean.
>
> Whenever you get out birding (safely), communication with other
> birders will be key. Getting word out about a storm-blown waif ASAP is
> the way to go...it might be a brief visit. For birds seen flying along
> the coastline, if you have a mobile device, try to call someone or
> post to CTBirds with any details including the direction of flight.
> With luck, other birders may be able to intercept a fast-moving
> jaeger, for example. We've done stuff like this with success before
> (recall the American White Pelicans last fall). It'll take a team
> effort.
>
> We will not be in the "right-front" quadrant that traditionally
> produces the most seabirds in these tropical systems, but like Scott
> and Dave and others have said, it's close enough to get the blood
> pumping.
>
> Of course, if you actually want to see seabirds from land, go to  
> Cape Cod :)
>
> Nick Bonomo
> Wallingford, CT
>
>
>
> On Wed, Sep 1, 2010 at 11:45 AM, Scott Kruitbosch <kbosch at gmail.com>  
> wrote:
>> Apart from bird specifics, Earl seems to be right on track to pass  
>> over or
>> near the infamous benchmark, 40N/70W. Hurricane force winds should be
>> confined to the Cape, if at all, and tropical storm force winds  
>> should only
>> barely get to extreme eastern CT. I mean *barely*, as this should  
>> end up as
>> nothing more than a strong nor'easter by all appearances, so don't  
>> worry.
>> Right now, from west to east, we in CT stand a 30-50% chance of  
>> seeing those
>> TS winds (average over 39MPH for >1 minute). Here -
>> http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecir.html - is a simple flash  
>> animation of
>> the eastern CONUS infrared satellite loop. You can see Earl  
>> obviously, and
>> looking towards the west from Michigan to Tennessee is the trough  
>> that is
>> coming to save us from anything of real consequence. It will push  
>> Earl away
>> and out to sea. The race is on...but we already know who will win,  
>> and it
>> isn't Earl.
>>
>> As others have stated the key is that Earl will be directly south  
>> of us for
>> a bit, albeit moving quickly, throwing birds in towards CT and LIS  
>> because
>> of the cyclonic winds. Think of the eye of the storm being south of  
>> us while
>> east of New Jersey, moving northeast, and winds spinning in a
>> counter-clockwise fashion. Even though they won't be really getting  
>> to us
>> this as it moves off it will move good birds in. Earl should only  
>> be a CAT 2
>> by the time it is up here, but its previous strength and increasing  
>> speed
>> will only help our chances of it having carried some rarities with  
>> it.
>>
>> Stratford Point will not be open probably until later in the evening
>> tonight, so plan ahead with that. The kite has shown up around 6:30  
>> the last
>> couple of nights probably because of the heat. We'll see what it does
>> tonight, but with yet another day of temperatures well into the 90s  
>> I would
>> guess it may do the same.
>>
>> --
>> Scott Kruitbosch
>> Stratford, CT
>> Connecticut Audubon Society
>> http://ctaudubon.blogspot.com/
>> _______________________________________________
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>
> _______________________________________________
> This list is provided by the Connecticut Ornithological Association  
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