[CT Birds] Earl/Stratford Point
wingsct at juno.com
wingsct at juno.com
Thu Sep 2 07:50:48 EDT 2010
And please, make sure your mobile phones are fully charged and
Good luck, good birding and keep safe out there.
---------- Original Message ----------
From: Nick Bonomo <nbonomo at gmail.com>
To: Scott Kruitbosch <kbosch at gmail.com>
Cc: ctbirds at lists.ctbirding.org
Subject: Re: [CT Birds] Earl/Stratford Point
Date: Wed, 1 Sep 2010 19:56:33 -0400
What an impressive storm. It will be fascinating to see how this plays out.
As of right now, it seems we're due to get the brunt of this storm
sometime during Friday midday through the evening. As the cyclone
pulls away Friday night, the winds will shift from an easterly
direction (most likely to push birds into Long Island Sound) to a
westerly one. It is likely that THE most crucial time to be out
birding in CT will be at DAWN on Saturday. Anything blown into the
sound, or upriver, will likely be reorienting at first light and
riding the west winds back toward the open ocean.
Whenever you get out birding (safely), communication with other
birders will be key. Getting word out about a storm-blown waif ASAP is
the way to go...it might be a brief visit. For birds seen flying along
the coastline, if you have a mobile device, try to call someone or
post to CTBirds with any details including the direction of flight.
With luck, other birders may be able to intercept a fast-moving
jaeger, for example. We've done stuff like this with success before
(recall the American White Pelicans last fall). It'll take a team
We will not be in the "right-front" quadrant that traditionally
produces the most seabirds in these tropical systems, but like Scott
and Dave and others have said, it's close enough to get the blood
Of course, if you actually want to see seabirds from land, go to Cape Cod :)
On Wed, Sep 1, 2010 at 11:45 AM, Scott Kruitbosch <kbosch at gmail.com> wrote:
> Apart from bird specifics, Earl seems to be right on track to pass over or
> near the infamous benchmark, 40N/70W. Hurricane force winds should be
> confined to the Cape, if at all, and tropical storm force winds should only
> barely get to extreme eastern CT. I mean *barely*, as this should end up as
> nothing more than a strong nor'easter by all appearances, so don't worry.
> Right now, from west to east, we in CT stand a 30-50% chance of seeing those
> TS winds (average over 39MPH for >1 minute). Here -
> http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecir.html - is a simple flash animation of
> the eastern CONUS infrared satellite loop. You can see Earl obviously, and
> looking towards the west from Michigan to Tennessee is the trough that is
> coming to save us from anything of real consequence. It will push Earl away
> and out to sea. The race is on...but we already know who will win, and it
> isn't Earl.
> As others have stated the key is that Earl will be directly south of us for
> a bit, albeit moving quickly, throwing birds in towards CT and LIS because
> of the cyclonic winds. Think of the eye of the storm being south of us while
> east of New Jersey, moving northeast, and winds spinning in a
> counter-clockwise fashion. Even though they won't be really getting to us
> this as it moves off it will move good birds in. Earl should only be a CAT 2
> by the time it is up here, but its previous strength and increasing speed
> will only help our chances of it having carried some rarities with it.
> Stratford Point will not be open probably until later in the evening
> tonight, so plan ahead with that. The kite has shown up around 6:30 the last
> couple of nights probably because of the heat. We'll see what it does
> tonight, but with yet another day of temperatures well into the 90s I would
> guess it may do the same.
> Scott Kruitbosch
> Stratford, CT
> Connecticut Audubon Society
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