[CT Birds] Bluff Point prediction for 9/30/12

David Provencher davidprovencher at sbcglobal.net
Sat Sep 29 13:08:43 EDT 2012

Well the surface wind predictions for the region are less than perfect for
the Bluff Point hot corner but a decent movement of birds should happen
tonight if the weather comes off as predicted. The predicted wind for Groton
at dawn will be north by north-east, which is obviously not in the desired
north by west quadrant. But it is close enough (and the prediction has only
to be wrong by a few degrees to move it to at least north) that there should
be birds doing morning flight  out of Bluff at dawn. If the winds hold at
NNE, the best movement out of Bluff will be in the FIRST HOUR of daylight,
when the winds will likely be weakest. The skies are not predicted to be
clear overnight, which will hold the flight down a little (especially of
hatch year birds), but the region looks just stable enough for a decent
movement. Fingers crossed anyway.


The migration is still decently diverse but is trending toward the coming
domination by hordes of Yellow-rumpeds and White-throateds. The number of
Connecticut Warblers and Clay-colored Sparrows being found in CT this Fall
suggests the overall track of the eastern migration so far is edged slightly
eastwards, which may bode well for CT picking up some unusual western
visitors soon. In any event, the coming days should see increasing Pine
Siskin reports. An early Lapland Longspur could easily be around soon
(especially on beaches) but be aware for the possibility of a Smith's or


Dave Provencher

Naturally New England


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