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Fwd: [Tropical Atlantic] Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

RA
R. A. McCall
Mon, Sep 11, 2017 8:51 PM

WTNT21 KNHC 112035
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL      AL112017
2100 UTC (5:00 PM EDT)  MON SEP 11 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE STORM SURGE WARNINGS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH SOUTHWARD... FROM
THE AUCILLA RIVER WESTWARD... AND FROM CLEARWATER BEACH
SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY... HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO
ALTAMAHA SOUND* IS DISCONTINUED*.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO THE
OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

  • NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
  • NORTH OF CLEARWATER BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

  • NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  84.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......360NE 230SE 150SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 390SE 390SW  0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  84.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  83.5W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 33.1N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 34.5N  87.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.8N  88.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.0N  88.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  84.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
atlantic mailing list
atlantic@hwn.org
http://mail.hwn.org/mailman/listinfo/atlantic_hwn.org
Message delivered to kg5dbu@arrl.net

--

Richard McCall

WTNT21 KNHC 112035 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 2100 UTC *(5:00 PM EDT)* MON SEP 11 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNINGS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH SOUTHWARD... FROM THE AUCILLA RIVER WESTWARD... AND FROM CLEARWATER BEACH SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY... *HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.* THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO ALTAMAHA SOUND* IS DISCONTINUED*. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE *IS DISCONTINUED*. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER * NORTH OF CLEARWATER BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 84.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......360NE 230SE 150SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 390SE 390SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 84.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 83.5W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 33.1N 85.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 34.5N 87.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.8N 88.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.0N 88.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 84.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH atlantic mailing list atlantic@hwn.org http://mail.hwn.org/mailman/listinfo/atlantic_hwn.org Message delivered to kg5dbu@arrl.net -- Richard McCall